Posted September 14, 2018 07:15:10 Australia’s economy is “recovering” from the global economic downturn, but its unemployment rate remains above 6 per cent and its real wages have not kept pace with inflation.
Key points:Economists are still not sure if Australia’s unemployment rate will peak in 2020, and whether the recession will be overInflation is expected to hit 1 per cent, but is not expected to peak until 2020When will the economy recover?
The Federal Government’s economists say the economy is now “recovers” from a global downturn that lasted from 2007 to late 2017, but it’s still unclear if it will peak or not.
Economists say the recovery is “likely” to last through the summer.
What do economists think?
Economists predict the recovery will be slow and not quick enough.
Inflation will likely reach 1 per Cent by the end of 2020.
The Reserve Bank says it expects inflation to reach 1.7 per cent in 2021 and 1.8 per cent by the start of 2021.
How much is the unemployment rate?
The unemployment rate, also known as the “recession” rate, is the number of unemployed people in the labour force.
The unemployment is calculated by dividing the number who have applied for unemployment benefits by the number available in the unemployment system.
The rate is often calculated by subtracting those who are out of work, people not in work, those receiving benefits for reasons other than their job, and people on disability.
How do economists calculate unemployment?
The Bureau of Statistics uses a complex formula to calculate unemployment rates, using a number of different factors.
The latest unemployment figures show the rate fell in the December quarter from 5.8 to 5.4 per cent.
Economist Andrew Bolt said that was “a big step forward”, but that the economy was still “not recovered”.
“There’s still a lot of uncertainty about the recovery, it’s not clear if the recession is over,” he said.
“The labour market is recovering.
The unemployment rate is still above 6.5 per cent.”
How is the economy recovering?
The economy’s main source of revenue is its goods and services tax (GST), which is about 4 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP).
The GST, which comes in two forms: a “business rate” and a “local tax”, has boosted Australia’s exports and made its businesses more competitive.
But the economy still relies on the sale of commodities like petrol and gas, which are expensive to import.
In the first quarter of 2018, gross domestic products fell by $16.4 billion, or 0.9 per cent on a year-on-year basis, as imports of petroleum products and coal fell by 6.1 per cent while exports of coal fell 0.7 percent.
In March 2019, Australia exported $26.7 billion worth of goods and $13.2 billion worth on a yearly basis, according to Statistics Australia.